Cocoa · Weather alerts

Cocoa alerts.
On your phone.
Before the market moves.

Daily monitoring across every major cocoa origin — weather data and our own cocoa prediction models, mapped to the forest belts that actually grow the crop, not country averages. When something threatens the harvest, an alert lands on your phone. Before the headline.

6 Origins covered
~Daily Monitoring cadence
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What you get

An alert the moment the crop is at risk.

Not a daily digest. Not a generic forecast. An alert — written for the trade — the moment our models see something that could move the futures curve.
01

Every major origin.

Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, Cameroon, Ecuador, Indonesia. Mapped to the actual cocoa belt — the Ivorian forest zone, Ashanti, Cameroon's southwest, Sulawesi — not country‑level averages.

CIV GHA NGA CMR ECU IDN
02

Events that move the curve.

Harmattan intensity and timing. Black pod conditions during the wet season. Mid‑crop dryness. Flowering stress. Excessive rainfall on pod set. Heat stress on cherelles. Each scored against the crop cycle stage that matters at that moment.

Harmattan Black pod Flowering Pod set
03

Straight to your phone.

Delivered via WhatsApp the moment a signal triggers. No login. No dashboard to check. No app to install. Read it on the desk, on the trading floor, on the road.

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04

Twenty years of context.

Daily weather data and cocoa prediction model output, scored against twenty years of weather and yield history. Anomalies are flagged in standard deviations from the cocoa‑specific baseline — not from a country mean.

20yr history Satellite Daily monitoring
What it looks like

An alert from the cocoa belt. In your pocket.

Each alert names the region, the event, the days of pressure, the crop stage it threatens, and our read on the price impact. Concise enough to read at a glance. Specific enough to act on.
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Weather Alert for Coffee Robusta in Vietnam
From CropGPT:

Flowering rains have not arrived across Vietnam's Central Highlands, threatening fruit set for the 2026/27 crop. The seasonal rains that normally trigger flowering across Vietnam's Central Highlands in late March and early April have failed to materialize. All three major producing provinces have been bone dry for more than three weeks, right when Robusta trees need that first soaking rain to set flowers uniformly. Scattered showers are expected to arrive later next week, but the amounts look modest and unevenly distributed.

This alert was sent because you opted in to CropGPT weather notifications. To stop receiving these messages, reply STOP. 16:28
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Real alert · Sent from CropGPT, April 2026
Geospatial
Pixels, not countries.
Every alert is scored against satellite pixels classified as cocoa‑producing land — the Ivorian forest belt, Ashanti, Cameroon's southwest, Sulawesi. Country averages get diluted by land that doesn't grow the crop. Ours doesn't.
Crop‑aware
Scored to the cycle.
A dry week in March means something different to a dry week in October. Each signal is weighted against the stage the crop is in — flowering, pod set, mid‑crop, main harvest — before it triggers.
Speed
Hours, not days.
Models run daily on the freshest satellite passes. When a threshold is crossed, the alert goes out the same day — typically before it surfaces in general circulation.
Built on

The same systems and intelligence for our commercial clients.

These alerts are a free distillation of the daily monitoring we run for institutional clients. Same models. Same field intelligence network. Same data.
200k+
Cocoa prediction models
Field‑level prediction models running across every soft commodity we cover, including cocoa.
30+
Country field network
A field intelligence team on the ground in every major origin we monitor, weekly.
20yr
Weather baseline
Two decades of cocoa‑specific climatology against which every anomaly is scored.
Daily
Monitoring cadence
Satellite, station and model data ingested every day across every cocoa origin.
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