Everything you can get from HSAT.
Timely signals from the field, in-depth crop and commodity reports, and direct conversations with the HSAT analysts behind the data.
Know before the news does.
Free, real-time push notifications from CropGPT. Monitored 24/7, delivered over WhatsApp the moment weather threatens a crop in a region you follow.
Download our latest work.
Free crop reports, white papers and methodology briefings — written by the HSAT team and drawn from the same data we sell to institutional traders.
The 2026 El Niño.
A major El Niño event is forecast to peak between October 2026 and February 2027. Crop-by-crop exposure across sugar, rice, palm oil, coffee, cocoa and maize — plus immediate, short-term and strategic actions for procurement teams.
Open briefingThe fertiliser crisis.
Four simultaneous supply shocks are reshaping global crop markets. Read the 2026 briefing on where the risk sits, which countries are exposed, and model real yield loss for your crops with our Fertiliser Disruption Yield Impact calculator.
Open briefingIran Conflict & Fertiliser Crisis.
A procurement-grade briefing on the 2026 supply disruption across every major commodity — wheat, maize, cotton, sugar. Where the 35% of seaborne fertiliser has gone, the cost and yield impacts arriving now and in Q3–Q4, and what to treat as Category 1 risk.
Download PDFIran Crisis — Cocoa, Ivory Coast.
Findings from hundreds of farmer interviews across Nawa, Agneby Tiassa and Sud Comoé. 97% of farmers report fertiliser access challenges; 73% have bought nothing at all. What that means for the 2027 crop, crop-level sensitivity, and the indirect risks that matter even where nitrogen exposure is low.
Download PDFIran Crisis — Cocoa, Ghana.
A first-hand read from Ghana's cocoa belt, drawn from direct interviews with growers in Twi and English. Why the phosphate-potassium blend mix insulates Ghana from the direct nitrogen shock — and where the second-order risks to 2027 supply sit. First in an ongoing monthly series.
Download PDFHSAT — Approach to Data.
Why we chose the signals we chose, how we reconcile them at the field level, and what "ground truth" actually means when you collect it in forty-two countries every week.
Download PDFHSAT — Input Variable Selection.
How we choose variables, the guardrails that stop feature-set bloat, and the discipline that keeps a twenty-year back-test honest when you have thousands of candidate signals.
Download PDFHSAT — Ensuring Accurate Models.
The definition of "accurate" we hold ourselves to, why a 95% headline average isn't a model guarantee, and how we publish the worst-case error for every commodity we cover.
Download PDFHSAT — Dealing with Adaptive Bias.
Why models that looked good yesterday can fail tomorrow, how we monitor for regime change in input distributions, and the explicit protocol for retraining when the underlying process shifts.
Download PDFHSAT — In-sample vs Out-of-sample.
The validation protocol: walk-forward testing, how we hold out seasons, the statistics we publish alongside every forecast, and what we do when a model fails a held-out season.
Download PDFHSAT — Forecast vs Nowcast.
Why HSAT's forecasts differ from the crop estimates conventional commodity analysts publish, what a nowcast can and cannot tell you, and why the distinction matters months before a harvest begins.
Download PDFLive sessions with the analysts.
Join our commodity analysts for deep dives into the season ahead, methodology walkthroughs and live Q&A. Free to attend, recordings available after.
Ivory Coast 2026/27 Cocoa Forecast
Our cocoa analysts present the 2026/27 Ivory Coast crop forecast — data, not opinions. 94% accuracy, months before harvest, with live Q&A.
RegisterBrazil 2026/27 Sugar Forecast
Our sugar analysts present the 2026/27 Brazil crop forecast — data, not opinions. 95%+ accuracy, with a dedicated fertiliser deep-dive and live Q&A.
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